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Will Tua Tagovailoa breach at Alabama or access the NFL draft? That’s the big catechism as the quarterback gets accessible to advertise his accommodation at apex ET on Monday at a columnist appointment with drillmaster Nick Saban.

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For a while, it seemed a foregone cessation he would arch to the NFL. The aboriginal admired to be the No. 1 aces — bethink Tanking for Tua? — Tagovailoa had a inferior year that was authentic both by accurateness on the acreage aback advantageous but additionally a added aerial abate abrasion in as abounding years and afresh a austere hip abrasion that concluded his division and put his actual approaching in doubt.

What does Tagovailoa’s abstract banal attending like now? And would he absolutely accident millions of dollars to comedy at Alabama one added year?

With advice from NFL abstract experts Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay, academy football anchorman Alex Scarborough, abrasion analyst Stephania Bell and NFL anchorman Kevin Seifert we breach bottomward aggregate you charge to apperceive about Tagovailoa’s accommodation and rehab.

Scarborough: Absolutely. Tagovailoa told ESPN aftermost ages he’s action to counterbalance the accommodation carefully, and abounding bodies abutting to the Alabama affairs would not be abashed to see him return.

“If I appear back, the accident is, what if I get aching again?” he said. “But the accolade could be maybe I jump aback to the top of the charts, the boards for all these teams.”

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Tagovailoa additionally said he’d be tempted to access the abstract if he were advised a top-10 or top-15 aces instead of abiding to academy for his chief season.

“I anticipate that’d be boxy to canyon up,” he said. “But there’s a lot added to it than that in some aspects.”

He could either acknowledgment and comedy his chief division in 2020, proving he’s advantageous again, or he could accomplish use of a redshirt year and not accident reinjury and instead sit out while continuing to use Alabama’s facilities.

McShay: Tagovailoa has aristocratic accurateness at all three levels, but decidedly aback throwing downfield. He has a bland delivery, fast eyes and acceptable arm strength. And the 6-foot-1, 218-pound lefty additionally does a abundant job anticipating and arch his receivers into the brawl with high-end touch.

But will he achieve the twitchiness and abruptness that stood out afore his injury? Tagovailoa keeps his anxiety accumbent with his eyes as he moves bound and calmly through his progressions and afresh is abrupt in his release. Whether he is still able in that breadth will be absolutely important.

What you charge to know:• McShay’s 2020 NFL Mock Abstract 1.0 »• The Kiper & McShay 2020 abstract album »• Kiper’s Big Board » | McShay’s Top 32 »• Aboriginal Abstract podcast » | 32 abstract nuggets »• Abounding abstract rankings from Scouts Inc. »More NFL abstract advantage »

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His final 2019 numbers are absorbing and aback up what evaluators see in his game: 2,840 casual yards, 33 touchdown passes, three interceptions, 71.4% achievement percentage, 11.3 yards per attack and a 94.5 Total QBR.

Kiper: This abrasion makes Tagovailoa the better agrarian agenda in the chic — if he enters the abstract — and he’ll be the hot affair through April. He has additionally suffered larboard and appropriate aerial abate sprains in the accomplished year, added a sprained knee he suffered aftermost season. These are apropos injuries, and teams are action to do their appointment over the abutting few months to see how he’s advanced from his hip surgery.

That makes Tagovailoa’s banal complicated, because teams will appetite their own doctors to appraise Tagovailoa’s medical reports, and they’ll accept to counterbalance whether they appetite to use a admired aces on a quarterback who adeptness not be able to assignment out for them. If you’re a accepted manager, do you assurance Tagovailoa’s band and assurance that he’ll balance to be your authorization quarterback? It’s easier said than done, because your job is on the band if the aces doesn’t pan out.

With all that actuality said, Tagovailoa is action to go beforehand than bodies anticipate appropriate now, as continued as he doesn’t accept any setbacks in his rehab.

Kiper: He’s still No. 3 on my Big Board, the second-ranked quarterback abaft LSU’s Joe Burrow. Tagovailoa is the best authentic passer in this class, and he has all of the concrete and brainy ancestry that teams attending for as the face of their franchise. He’d be angry close with Burrow if not for the injury, and alike then, I’m not bottomward him much.

McShay: I’m a little added alert appropriate now. I accept him at No. 12 in my latest top 32 rankings, abaft Burrow (No. 2) but advanced of Oregon’s Justin Herbert amid quarterbacks. If healthy, he’s still my QB1, though, alike over Burrow. Expect his baronial to alter affluence over the advancing months as we abide to apprentice added about his recovery.

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McShay: Yes, I still accept him as a first-rounder. Remember, NFL teams will appetite to capitalize on the fifth-year advantage that comes with a Day 1 selection. And there are affluence of teams, at both ends of the aboriginal round, that charge a quarterback. But again, it’s actual early, and there is still a lot we don’t know.

Kiper: Barring a setback, there’s no catechism in my apperception that he will be a first-round pick. He’s too gifted. Now, could he bead to the average of Annular 1? Absolutely. And some advantageous aggregation — how about Miami, which has two added picks? — is action to get its guy.

Scarborough: It adeptness accept been a absolution in beard that Mac Jones got some much-needed acquaintance this division in abatement of Tagovailoa. The redshirt green got tuneups adjoin Western Carolina and Arkansas while Tagovailoa recovered from his abate injury, but afresh absolutely excelled adjoin aristocratic antagonism in Auburn and Michigan. He threw two pick-sixes adjoin the Tigers, but totaled 662 yards on 42-of-64 passing, with seven touchdown passes and those two interceptions.

He looked like a abeyant abiding answer, but he’s no affirmation for the job.

Tagovailoa’s adolescent brother, apprentice Taulia, is a above four-star recruit who played some this accomplished season. And Paul Tyson, the apprentice and great-grandson of Paul “Bear” Bryant, will accept a say as well. But abounding Alabama admirers are agilely apprehension the admission of Bryce Young, the nation’s No. 1 dual-threat QB anticipation out of Mater Dei (California) High, a academy that has produced two Heisman winners (Matt Leinart, John Huarte) and assorted NFL quarterbacks.

If Tagovailoa is in the NFL or still convalescent from his hip abrasion appear Sept. 5, aback the Tide bang off the 2020 division adjoin USC, Nick Saban will accept options.

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Scarborough: Let’s set the scene: It’s Saturday, Nov. 16, and Alabama is acceptable big backward in the aboriginal bisected on the alley adjoin Mississippi State. Drillmaster Nick Saban is accessible to cull Tagovailoa, but the quarterback says he wants in for one aftermost drive, and Saban obliges.

Three plays later, Tagovailoa rolls to his left, extending the play, and aloof as he throws the brawl away, two defenders acreage on him. He avalanche awkwardly, his knee apprenticed into the ground, causing his hip to break and breach the afterwards wall. He additionally break his adenoids and suffers a concussion. He gets carted off the acreage and aureate to a Birmingham hospital, and he eventually has anaplasty with a specialist in Houston on Nov. 18.

Scarborough: From the moment the team’s orthopedic surgeon, Dr. Lyle Cain, addressed the hip injury, he has insisted that Tagovailoa will accomplish a “full recovery.” In fact, that exact byword has appeared in three abstracted statements appear through the university.


Nick Saban says he isn’t able to acknowledgment if Tua Tagovailoa will be medically accessible for the abstract because he isn’t a doctor and jokes that he’s disturbing to be a acceptable coach.

Bell: It’s a appropriate hip break and afterwards bank fracture. The hip collective is composed of the “ball” allocation (the annular arch of the femur, or thigh bone) and the “socket” allocation (the deep, saucer-shaped acetabulum, which is allotment of the pelvis). The collective is inherently abiding and requires a abundant accord of force to disrupt, but a high-energy appulse in aloof the appropriate administration can account the brawl to move out of position about to the socket, consistent in a dislocation.

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In Tagovailoa’s case, falling adamantine on his knee (the far end of the femur) with his hip flexed, circuitous by the weight of defenders falling on him, created a high-energy appulse that affected the hip out of position. Unfortunately, on the way out, the brawl of the femur addled the rim of the socket, causing a breach of the aback (posterior) wall.

It’s additionally important to agenda the appulse of Tagovailoa’s astringent nasal fracture. According to Jeff Allen, Alabama’s accessory able-bodied administrator for sports medicine, Tagovailoa complained alone about his face aback Allen accustomed at the quarterback’s side. Allen said the bleeding from Tagovailoa’s adenoids was “as astringent and abounding as I’ve seen.” Allen was anon anxious there adeptness be added facial fractures. Between the hip break and the nasal bleeding and doubtable fractures, the medical agents triaged Tagovailoa’s astute abrasion administration aloof as they adeptness afterwards a astringent motor agent crash. Tagovailoa’s hip was put aback in abode aural account at the amphitheater and the facial bleeding was slowed. He was afresh transported to St. Vincent’s Hospital in Birmingham for added appraisal and ultimately catholic to Houston for surgery. Less than 48 hours afterwards adversity the abrasion on the field, Tagovailoa underwent anaplasty with hip specialist Dr. Chip Routt at Hermann-Memorial Medical Center. As anon as Routt repaired the afterwards bank fracture, Dr. Tang Ho accustomed to the operating allowance and repaired Tagovailoa’s nasal fracture. The absolute action lasted about four and a bisected hours.

It is adamantine to apperceive for assertive whether there accept been any bookish or able football players who accept suffered the exact aforementioned aggregate of injuries, as they are attenuate occurrences and not all abrasion accommodation are accessible knowledge.

In December 2015, then-Patriots active aback LeGarrette Blount reportedly chipped a cartilage in his hip. He alternate the afterward division to comedy in all 16 games. Above Ravens bound end Dennis Pitta suffered a hip fracture/dislocation in July 2013, but alternate afterwards that division as a allotment of the team’s Super Bowl run. He reinjured his hip in 2014, underwent addition anaplasty and sat out 2015, but alternate to advance all NFL bound ends in receptions in 2016. Pitta afresh afflicted his hip a third time in June 2017, banishment him to retire.

There are so abounding accessible nuances to anniversary specific abrasion agreement that it is fair to accept that Tagovailoa’s abrasion is unique. And no, we can’t analyze this abrasion to Bo Jackson’s.

That said, there is one contempo case that is comparable, and it complex addition Alabama player. It was in the BCS civic appellation bold afterwards the 2011 season, aback linebacker C.J. Mosley best off a canyon from LSU’s Jordan Jefferson and was afflicted on the tackle. Allen acclaimed that Mosley’s hip break was accessible aback the medical agents accustomed on the acreage based on the awkward accession of his leg. Mosley’s break was put aback in abode on the acreage by Dr. Cain. Unlike Tagovailoa, Mosley did not crave surgery, but he did crave months of accurate rehabilitation. It’s account acquainted that Mosley’s abrasion happened in January and he was aback on the acreage in abounding accommodation that summer for Alabama’s workouts. He went on to be best in the aboriginal annular of the 2014 NFL draft.

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Bell: Tagovailoa is accepted to accomplish a abounding accretion accustomed the quick abridgement of the hip break and the consecutive appropriate surgical care, which agency he should acknowledgment to abounding strength. It is critical, however, that Tagovailoa chase the post-operative guidelines, including what could be best challenging: rest. As the breach heals in the aboriginal phase, it is capital not to afflict the hip, authoritative the aboriginal six weeks of adjust decidedly boxy for an amateur who consistently wants to advance himself.

“This isn’t article that I can rush,” Tagovailoa said afterwards his surgery. “If I appetite to comedy to my abounding potential, I apperceive I can’t aloof appear aback and comedy on it as if it were my ankle. I anticipate a lot of that has to go into my decision-making, too, as to whether I breach or leave.”

As he moves forward, there will be consecutive imaging studies to ensure that the healing progresses. Adjust will gradually absorb accelerating strengthening, ambit of motion and ultimately football activity. Allen, accepting formed with Mosley, knows what it takes for an amateur to acknowledgment to a aerial akin afterwards this blazon of hip injury. Allen additionally has formed with Tagovailoa afterward two abate surgeries and addendum his assignment belief and upbeat attitude as added affidavit to accept in his adeptness to acknowledgment to pre-injury form.

Seifert: It has happened. Probably the best notable archetype was Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford, who alert afflicted his accept during his final academy division in 2009. The added instance appropriate season-ending surgery. Bradford was clumsy to bandy at the 2010 NFL combine, but the St. Louis Rams still drafted him No. 1 overall.

He struggled through an injury-ravaged career that included two ACL tears, but played nine seasons for four altered teams.

Seifert: If Tagovailoa enters the draft, teams will get a adventitious to allocution to him at the NFL combine, which starts Feb. 24 in Indianapolis. Not all top quarterbacks assignment out there — Kyler Murray, the closing No. 1 aces in 2019, skipped workouts — but medical evaluations and interviews with aggregation admiral are consistently on the schedule.

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Alabama will acceptable authority its anniversary pro day in mid-March. If Tagovailoa has started a throwing affairs by then, scouts could get a afterpiece attending at his progress. It will already be a well-attended accident based on the Crimson Tide’s added top affairs in the 2020 class.

The abstract begins April 23 in Las Vegas.

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