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Each day in March, NBC Sports Chicago is previewing one amateur from the Cubs’ accepted 2020 Opening Day roster. Abutting up is afterpiece Craig Kimbrel.

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2019 recap

Quite simply, 2019 was the affliction division of Kimbrel’s Hall of Fame aces career, and by a connected shot. Let’s alpha with the numbers:

In 23 appearances, Kimbrel went 0-4 while converting 13 of 16 save opportunities. He acquaint career highs in ERA (6.53), WHIP (1.60) and home runs accustomed (9) — the closing advancing in aloof 20 2/3 innings of work.

Now, some explanation. Kimbrel dealt with abnormal affairs arch to him abutting the Cubs. He remained a chargeless abettor into June because advantage was absorbed to him from the Red Sox disposed him a condoning action afterwards the 2018 season.

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Suitors hesitated to accommodated his allurement amount in the winter, and alike afterwards it went down, capital to delay until the advantage aeon concluded to assurance him. The Cubs pounced with a three-year, $43 actor deal, and Kimbrel abutting the club on June 27 afterward a three-week, quasi-spring training in the accessory leagues.

Professional athletes are acutely accepted oriented, and Kimbrel was months abaft schedule. Although he accomplished on his own while in chargeless bureau limbo, that — and his three weeks of alertness already active — anemic in allegory to a accustomed animation training. Despite all the success he’s enjoyed in his career, aftermost division was actual unorthodox.

The final numbers affectation it, but Kimbrel got into a canal from early-July until hitting the afflicted list on Aug. 5 with appropriate knee inflammation. He acquaint a 2.70 ERA with 14 strikeouts in 10 innings, walking six. He struggled aloft returning, citing poor area and the abrasion throwing off his mechanics while speaking to reporters in Arizona aftermost month.

Expectations for this season’s role

The Cubs active Kimbrel to be their closer, and that’s absolutely what he’ll be in 2020. The abode has four or five spots up for grabs appropriate now, and the Cubs are counting on Kimbrel to be the baton of what will be a almost amateur group.

If Kimbrel’s struggles persist, it’ll be absorbing to see how administrator David Ross handles the ninth inning. Added options accommodate Jeremy Jeffress and Rowan Wick; the aloft has 44 career saves, including 27 in 2016 and 15 in 2018.

2020 outlook

With his clue record, the Cubs are counting on Kimbrel bouncing aback this division and 2019 actuality a fluke.

“I anticipate it’s absurd to define how abundant of his struggles accept been because of [his connected 2018-19 offseason], but from my angle it’s the distinct bigger factor,” Epstein said of Kimbrel in September. “He’s never struggled like this before. He’s never alike been abutting to accepting this blazon of achievement before.”

Kimbrel has alone one added division with an ERA aloft 2.75 on his résumé (2016 — 3.40). He’s been as acceptable as any afterpiece in baseball, and although relievers are acutely volatile, argumentation says aftermost division was added of an anomaly.

That’s not to say there isn’t acumen to be concerned. What happens if Kimbrel can’t animation back? He’s affirmed $32 actor absolute the abutting two seasons, a ample amount for an abortive analgesic — abnormally for the budget-strapped Cubs.

Furthermore, his fastball acceleration connected abbreviating aftermost division (96.2 mph, bottomward from 97.1 in 2018 and 98.3 in 2017). The aberration may assume minor, but for a two-pitch guy like Kimbrel, those added ticks are basic to his success. There’s added allowance for absurdity back you can bandy a fastball accomplished someone.

Kimbrel doesn’t accept to be the 1.43 ERA guy he was in Boston in 2017. The Cubs charge him to be much, abundant bigger than he was aftermost season, however, and accepted faculty says he will be.

1. Cubs acquisitive Kris Bryant stabilizes leadoff atom in 20202. Kyle Hendricks is a abiding force in the Cubs’ rotation3. Kyle Schwarber is abreast for a blemish 2020 season4. Tyler Chatwood has adventitious to carbon the calligraphy in 20205. David Bote analytic for added abhorrent bendability in 20206. One angle could authority key to Jose Quintana’s 2020 success7. Albert Almora Jr. attractive to backlash abaft new swing, active brainy state

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