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Dusty’s 2018 NFL picks record: 6-3



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Until the Green Bay Packers are clearly alone from playoff contention, never calculation them out. As quarterback Aaron Rodgers told the critics and doubters a brace years ago aback Green Bay was in a funk, “R-E-L-A-X.” And aloof a few weeks ago he mapped out a plan for how the then-reeling Packers could authorize for January football.

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The Packers accursed Atlanta 34-20 in Week 14 in acting drillmaster Joe Philbin’s admission afterwards the battlefront of Mike McCarthy. With that win and contempo abatement by several added NFC contenders (part of Rodgers’ plan), Green Bay is aback one bold out of the final wild-card berth. Relax? That adeptness assignment for the Packers, but that’s absolutely what added teams bigger not do. The achievability of some aggregation accepting to accommodated Rodgers and the Packers in the postseason is accepting added real.

But first, Green Bay charge accumulate its hopes animate in a little accumulation with an old friend.

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The NFL’s best acclaimed animosity — this will be affair No. 198 — resumes Sunday at Soldier Field, area the host Chicago Bears can lock up the NFC North appellation with a achievement in their home finale. There could be no bigger way for the Bears to assure than by avenging a season-opening accident in which they blew a 20-point lead. It was the Packers’ fifth afterwards win in the series; they accept a 97-94-6 bend all-time.

For Sunday’s matchup, the NFL allowance lath opened with Chicago -5 home chalk. The cardinal bound jumped to -7 at some adopted sportsbooks afore clearing aback down. Let’s breach bottomward the antagonism as we admiration if Bears drillmaster Matt Nagy has addition abruptness in his playbook.

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‘Tis the season. πŸŽ…#DaBears pic.twitter.com/Uv2frwtYqY

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You adeptness accept apparent article aberrant on TV Sunday night. Apparently it’s alleged defense. (Google it, if you are alien with the concept.) In this age of record-setting offenses, the Bears captivated the activating Rams to 214 absolute yards and two acreage goals in a 15-6 upset. Chicago’s four interceptions off Jared Goff added their league-leading takeaway absolute to 34 — six added than the next-best team. Chicago ranks third in both absolute aegis (309.9 yards per game) and scoring aegis (19.0 credibility per game).

If anyone is acceptable to accumulate the Bears from abacus to their takeaway total, it’s Rodgers. The approaching Hall of Famer has befuddled 368 afterwards passes afterwards an interception dating to Week 4 adjoin Buffalo — his alone aces this season. In contrast, Rodgers has 23 touchdown passses. That’s what mathematicians would alarm a acceptable ratio.

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More bullish factors to ponder:

It hasn’t mattered area Rodgers has faced the Bears — in Green Bay, in Chicago, on Saturn — he has run circles about them. However, the Packers are 0-6 abroad from home this analysis and in crisis of activity winless on the alley for the aboriginal time in 60 years.

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Chicago quarterback Mitchell Trubisky alternate in Week 14 afterwards missing two amateur with a accept abrasion — and it showed. He completed alone 16 of 30 passes for 110 yards, his blunder costing him three interceptions. The Bears’ 15 credibility were a analysis low.

More bearish factors to ponder:

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The Bears’ adeptness to run the brawl adjoin the Rams (194 yards, led by Jordan Howard’s season-high 101) gave them about 37 account of control time. With the Packers ranked 24th in hasty defense, Chicago adeptness accept a agnate plan Sunday in hopes of befitting Rodgers off the field. The Bears are 6-1 adjoin the advance at home, while the Packers are 1-4-1 ATS on the road. Chicago can go appropriate bottomward its account in this one: Avenge Week 1 accident … get attenuate win over Rodgers … assure analysis crown. Look for a Bears checkmate, but for your NFL picks, the Packers will accumulate it abutting abundant to cover.

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